Ariza, Collison involved in four-team trade
Basketball Betting Lines
08/11/2010 - Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New Orleans Hornets, Indiana Pacers, Houston Rockets and New Jersey Nets have reportedly agreed on a trade that will change the homes of five players, including Trevor Ariza and Darren Collison.
The trade has been reported by multiple sources, including the Indianapolis Star and The Newark Star-Ledger.
Ariza, a forward who signed a five-year contract with Houston prior to last season, is heading to the Hornets, who sent point guard Collison to Indiana. Additionally, the Pacers also get forward James Posey from New Orleans while sending forward Troy Murphy to New Jersey. The Nets sent Courtney Lee to the Rockets.
The 25-year-old Ariza had his best statistical season in 2009-10, averaging 14.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists in 72 games for the Rockets. Despite his career-high averages, his shooting percentage was a career-low 39.4 percent, and he hit 33.4 percent of his three-point shots and 64.9 percent of his free throws.
Ariza was initially a second-round pick of the Knicks in 2004 and has spent time in New York, Orlando, Los Angeles with the Lakers and Houston, averaging 8.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.8 assists in 383 games -- 123 starts.
Collison, who turns 23 later this month, served as the backup to Chris Paul in his rookie season with the Hornets and the starter when Paul went down with a knee injury. The UCLA product, a first-round pick in 2009, averaged 12.4 points and 5.7 assists in 76 games last year, including 37 starts. He figures to slide in as the Pacers' starting point guard immediately.
Collison is still on his original rookie contract, which could run through 2013-14 if the team exercises its options and extends a qualifying offer in the final year.
Posey, a 33-year-old veteran who has won two NBA titles with Miami in 2006 and Boston in 2008, scored 5.2 points and pulled down 4.3 rebounds per game in 77 contests for New Orleans last season. In 11 seasons with Denver, Houston, Memphis, Miami, Boston and New Orleans, Posey has career per-game averages of 8.8 points and 4.8 rebounds in 815 contests.
Posey has two seasons left on his contract.
Murphy spent the last three-plus seasons with Indiana and has been one of the most versatile forwards in the league. In 2009-10, he averaged 14.6 points and 10.2 rebounds while shooting 38.4 percent from three-point range. A first- round pick of Golden State in 2001, Murphy has averaged 12.1 points and 8.6 rebounds in 621 games for the Warriors and Pacers over nine seasons, although he has appeared in 82 games just once -- his rookie campaign.
Murphy is in the final year of his contract.
Lee will suit up for his third team in three NBA seasons, having played with Orlando as a rookie in 2008-09 before participating with the Nets this past season. In 71 games for the Nets in 2009-10, Lee averaged 12.5 points, and he has a career 10.3 scoring averaged in 148 games.
Lee, like Collison, is on his rookie contract that extends to 2012-13 if the team exercises a 2011-12 option and extends a qualifying offer in 2012-13.
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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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